Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.082192 0.091497 0.101782 0.114061 0.128408 0.144745 0.164908
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.069219 0.081921 0.097194 0.117190 0.143101 0.176152 0.222532
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.060225 0.074673 0.093218 0.119379 0.156383 0.208603 0.291359
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.053561 0.068891 0.089626 0.120740 0.168197 0.241546 0.372076
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.048144 0.063768 0.085817 0.120653 0.177354 0.272441 0.461282
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.043498 0.058996 0.081637 0.118984 0.183261 0.299173 0.554276
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.040729 0.056529 0.080411 0.121545 0.196528 0.342632 0.703472
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.037439 0.052876 0.076822 0.119472 0.200853 0.369827 0.830796
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.035294 0.050737 0.075338 0.120713 0.211606 0.413962 1.033112
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.033050 0.048206 0.072888 0.119768 0.217676 0.449504 1.238742
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.031557 0.046739 0.072046 0.121657 0.230120 0.505474 1.570286
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.030248 0.045447 0.071346 0.123675 0.243308 0.569122 2.013362
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.028671 0.043603 0.069526 0.123286 0.251110 0.622081 2.497460
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.027505 0.042372 0.068703 0.124869 0.264326 0.699427 3.280385
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.026443 0.041234 0.067935 0.126457 0.278081 0.787200 4.385819
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.025421 0.040086 0.067026 0.127593 0.291005 0.880849 5.909246
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.024337 0.038744 0.065612 0.127360 0.300028 0.965694 7.797917
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.023178 0.037184 0.063627 0.125510 0.303793 1.031023 9.900537
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.022567 0.036596 0.063543 0.128237 0.322795 1.185811 15.160561
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.021534 0.035148 0.061569 0.126000 0.324991 1.256256 19.705334
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.020899 0.034415 0.061022 0.127329 0.339920 1.415153 30.974694
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.020106 0.033330 0.059645 0.126313 0.346330 1.530177 45.407236
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.019616 0.032803 0.059418 0.128341 0.364847 1.752202 85.800398